We spent 2 days there during our long X-mass weekend.
More video may be coming...
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More video may be coming...
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Sunday, December 28, 2014
Monday, December 22, 2014
Корюшкa к празднику - Smelts For Holiday Dinner!
Based on Anfisa: "Small fish found everywhere according to wiki: Atlantic and Pacific oceans, freshwater - rivers. They probably can live in cold water.. In St. Petersburg they are caught during seasonal movement of fish when ice breaks. During those couple weeks city has special fish smell because smelts are sold on the streets.
Apparently it is "season" in Whole Foods. It is tasty and special!"
Sunday, December 21, 2014
Saturday, December 20, 2014
Thursday, December 18, 2014
CMG'14: "A New (?) Approach to Capacity Forecasting" vs. IT Control Charts
I have enjoyed as usual the CMG'14 International conference and found a few papers there still related to this particular blog subject.
One of them is " A New Approach to Capacity Forecasting by Linda Carroll (IBM, USA)
Traditionally, a capacity forecast is presented at the month view of the data and has the tendency to represent capacity trends in a straight predictable line. This paper will show the value of measuring and reporting system capacity based on a weekly view. It also introduces the use of Process Control Analysis to confirm the forecasting methodology and the accuracy of the capacity forecast. What differentiates this methodology is that it is currently being used in real world operations where it has been very successful.
This paper I am afraid is attempt to "re-invent the wheel" as SPC and MASF variation of that has found the way to be used in Capacity planning for years and specifically my CMG papers have detailed explanation how to do it by using Control charts and especially weekly ones (IT-Control Charts). Bellow video has some example of short term forecasting that IT-Control chart can do:
One of them is " A New Approach to Capacity Forecasting by Linda Carroll (IBM, USA)
Traditionally, a capacity forecast is presented at the month view of the data and has the tendency to represent capacity trends in a straight predictable line. This paper will show the value of measuring and reporting system capacity based on a weekly view. It also introduces the use of Process Control Analysis to confirm the forecasting methodology and the accuracy of the capacity forecast. What differentiates this methodology is that it is currently being used in real world operations where it has been very successful.
This paper I am afraid is attempt to "re-invent the wheel" as SPC and MASF variation of that has found the way to be used in Capacity planning for years and specifically my CMG papers have detailed explanation how to do it by using Control charts and especially weekly ones (IT-Control Charts). Bellow video has some example of short term forecasting that IT-Control chart can do:
Tuesday, December 16, 2014
Sunday, December 14, 2014
Грушинский Фестиваль Туристской Песни - 1979 (Последний доперестроечный)
Как я уже писал (Фестивали и клубы самодеятельной песни где я пел свои песни) я участвовал в самом знаменитом КСП фестивале - Грушинский Фестиваль Туристской Песни - 1979 (Последний доперестроечный XII фестиваль)
Я там был в составе Ленинградского КСП.
Двенадцатый фестиваль достиг отметки в 100 (по другим данным более 55[8]) тысяч участников из 75 городов, проходил на Федоровских лугах. Председатель жюри — Юрий Визбор.Сохранилось несколько фотокадров в моем Архиве -
Выступлениe группы "Последний шанс"
Фестивальная поляна
Sunday, December 7, 2014
Friday, December 5, 2014
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About Me
- Igor Trubin
- He started in 1979 as IBM/370 system engineer. In 1986 he got his PhD. in Robotics at St. Petersburg Technical University (Russia) and then worked as a professor teaching CAD/CAM, Robotics for 12 years. He published 30+ papers and made several presentations for conferences related to the Robotics and Artificial Intelligent fields. In 1999 he moved to the US, worked at Capital One bank as a Capacity Planner. His first CMG.org paper was written and presented in 2001. The next one, "Exception Detection System Based on MASF Technique," won a Best Paper award at CMG'02 and was presented at UKCMG'03 in Oxford, England. He made other tech. presentations at IBM z/Series Expo, SPEC.org, Southern and Central Europe CMG and ran several workshops covering his original method of Anomaly and Change Point Detection (Perfomalist.com). Author of “Performance Anomaly Detection” class (at CMG.com). Worked 2 years as the Capacity team lead for IBM, worked for SunTrust Bank for 3 years and then at IBM for 3 years as Sr. IT Architect. Now he works for Capital One bank as IT Manager at the Cloud Engineering and since 2015 he is a member of CMG.org Board of Directors. Runs UT channel iTrubin